May 12, 2007

For a grand bargain on internal trade

Scenes from a dying country...

The government of Newfoundland, in language recalling Quebec’s Quiet Revolution, uses its recent Throne Speech to signal its determination to be “masters in our own house.” This calculated appeal to Newfoundland nationalism is prompted by reforms to equalization that offer the province more than it received before....

In Quebec, the nominally federalist premier Jean Charest laces his “inaugural” speech with even more stridently nationalist language, in an apparent bid to outdo the “autonomist” Action Democratique and the “separatist” Parti Quebecois. This, after his government demanded, and was granted, a whole series of further concessions from Ottawa: formal recognition of the Québécois “nation,” a seat at UNESCO, and so on.

In Alberta, the government cannot decide whether it is or is not in favour of the concept of a single national securities regulator, but leans towards retaining the current system of 13 provincial and territorial regulators, albeit with a provision allowing for mutual recognition of each other’s rules -- that is to say, formalizing their redundancy.

And now the provinces are signing free trade treaties with each other.

Ah, but that’s the good news, right? Just when it seems federalism is disappearing from view, a couple of wise and far-sighted premiers put parochial interests aside, and sign the Alberta-British Columbia Trade, Investment and Labour Mobility Agreement. Now Quebec is proposing a similar arrangement with Ontario, and Ontario allows as how it might just be interested. Years away, of course, but still, something to consider.

Actually, that’s the bad news. Much though the provinces will pretend that this proliferation of discriminatory trade deals -- we’ll allow your construction workers in, Alberta, but not yours, Saskatchewan -- shows that “federalism works,” in fact it shows precisely the contrary. The whole point of federating was to avoid this sort of nonsense: to create a single national economic space, without barriers of any kind.

It was never intended that, 140 years later, the provinces would still be carving up the country into preferential trade areas. Rather, the Fathers of Confederation envisaged a common market, with a federal overseer -- as is the case in every other federation. That’s why they included a Trade and Commerce power among the list of jurisdictions assigned to the federal government: if the issue at the time was tarriffs, rather than investment restrictions and other non-tarriff barriers, the principle is the same.

Trade treaties between provinces have nothing to do with federalism. They are the kinds of things that sovereign states could arrange amongst themselves. What sovereign states can’t achieve is the kind of total economic integration that is possible within a federation, where barriers to trade are not just bargaining chips, to be kept or dealt away according to whether others do likewise, but are banned outright -- and where there is a recognized authority to supervise and enforce this proscription. In a federation, we call that the federal government.

Leaving it to the provinces to negotiate does not just fall short of this goal -- it takes us in the opposite direction. A common economic space presupposes a common political space: internal trade barriers are forbidden in most countries, not just because they are inefficient, but because they are absurd -- because it is absurd to put up barriers to trade with ourselves. Whereas the very process of inter-provincial negotiation presupposes that there is no common political space, no ourselves, but rather 13 different ourselves.

So we are in a pickle. Viewed strictly as a legal matter, the feds could probably invoke the Trade and Commerce power, and strike down provincial trade barriers unilaterally. But politically, they don’t dare. What’s needed is not just federal leadership, but provincial followership, a formal acknowledgment of the federal role in enforcing the economic union, and they’re not likely to sign onto such a thing without getting something in return. Fortunately, the feds have a bargaining chip.

It was to be expected that the transfer of billions of dollars to resolve the so-called “fiscal imbalance” issue would fail to shut the provinces up. No sooner had the money been granted than Quebec began agitating for the conversion of all federal cash transfers into tax points, placing them forever beyond reach of grasping Ottawa. By itself, this is no bad thing: if there are to be no conditions attached to federal grants, then by all means let the provinces take ownership of the taxes they represent, and be accountable for them. But it’s time the feds got something in return. And that something is the economic union.

Is there the makings of a Grand Bargain here? Stephen Harper has spoken in the past of the necessity for the federal government to assume its responsibilities over internal trade. (“Our economic union is too weak because Ottawa has failed to use the powers it has under the Constitution to ensure that goods and services can freely flow across provincial borders.”) And once, long ago, another federal Conservative leader proposed something broadly similar: a Canadian Covenant, it was called, complete with a federal Inter-Provincial Trade Commission, “to regulate and enforce the rules of inter-provincial trade.” His name? Jean Charest.

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30 Comments

Steve L.:

ok so let me get this straight Andrew. you support the free flow of capital across international borders (i.e. foreign takeovers of Canadian companies) but not free flow of capital across domestic borders? wtf?

additionally, why do you want a common market supervised by the feds to start with? the fact that Newfoundland wasn't able to negotiate with Quebec as if they were the Americans on the Churchill Falls hydroelectricity file was precisely because of the lopsided advantages that the Canadian federal structure bestowed towards Quebec. this scenario would not exist under a more devolved and egalitarian federal-provincial framework. of course this is not to say that i believe that Harper has been entirely satisfactory on this issue, but the point is that you're looking for a problem where there were none and advocating policies that would create problems where there were none.

13/5/07 5:35 AM  
Steve L.:

oh and i forgot to address to something else:

just because it's easy for the feds to enforce uniform free trade among the provinces doesn't mean that that's where we want to appropriate economic decision-making power. it's like saying that we should be governed by a monarchy because a sufficiently competent monarch can theoretically make a monarchy more effective than a democracy. it even goes against your support of STV.

and realistically, the Conservative Party still doesn't look like a party that will win more mandates than the Liberal Party. investing more power in the feds is only going to ensure that subsequent Liberal administrations will have even more power to do as they please with the provinces. and cutting down trade barriers doesn't look like one of the things that they'll do.

and let's not forget: the Liberals can violate every single policy advocated by Andrew Coyne and he'll remain silent. if the Conservatives don't follow all of his instructions to a T, however, the world will end.

13/5/07 6:08 AM  
Keith:

Dead on AC. But don't count on Harper asserting the federal power over Quebec. My bet is that he will cave even more to the 'autonomiste' forces now building steam in Quebec city. Ideas have consequences, as they say, and having uncorked the 'nation' idea it cannot now be put back into the bottle.

13/5/07 7:35 AM  
dachisb:

I believe that the AB-BC agreement is a good first step.

Firstly, one cannot assume that the feds will ever take it upon themselves to reduce internal barriers. Thus, any movement on this is a good thing regardless of the level it is done at. A small gain from trade is still better than no gain from trade.

Secondly, there are important knock-on effects of the AB-BC agreement. For one, there are now talks about including SK and MB into the agreement (to the consternation of the folks at the CLC and the bloggers at Relentlessly Progressive Economics). No province will want to be left out and one consequence of this is that other provinces will join in.

More importantly is the stimulus for the feds to now step in. There would have been no action by the feds had the BC-AB agreement gone through. So, paradoxically, your saying that this agreement is a bad thing and that the federal govt should intervene may actually have the effect of making it a good thing by stirring the debate and the federal govt.

Ask yourself, when has interprovincial trade even been a more important topic?

13/5/07 8:38 AM  
Candace:

The federal government could only do so much to effect free-flowing interprovincial trade as set out in the AB/BC agreement. Much of the 'free-flow of workforce' pieces are around accreditation (and the mutual recognition thereof), which of course falls under provincial jurisdiction. Currently, a plumber in BC can't work in AB without writing an exam for an inter-provincial ticket (because of course the laws of physics are different in the two provinces). Nor could an electrician or carpenter or ironworker. The same is true in many professions. Being called to the bar in Ontario doesn't automatically grant you the right to practice in Alberta (although in this example, there is some logic as the laws are not always the same).

The BC/AB agreement will go a long way towards standardizing educational requirements for various trades and professions.

The only ones that lose out of this are unions (no need for both an AB and BC plumber & pipefitter union anymore) and professional regulatory associations (law, engineering, etc.).

This is a bad thing why?

13/5/07 11:10 AM  
mg:

Well, we're back to the nonsensical comments.

I did not know about this AB-BC trade deal. (It is hard to keep track of one crazy new development to the next, when you're not home.)

Who ever would have come up with this idea? It shouldn't even be necessary in the first place. It's like having a trade agreement between two neighbouring counties.

Wouldn't it have been lovely if the provincial governments had said "hey, rest of Canada, we'd love to universally standardize these things, what do you think?" Who loses? Everyone gets jobs. It makes it easier to move. etc. etc. etc.

I wish we had some kind of... you know, federation-wide organization... like a federation government? Federal... oh wait! We do!

Now if only they did something other than put out press releases.

13/5/07 2:49 PM  
Paris Stronach:

"and let's not forget: the Liberals can violate every single policy advocated by Andrew Coyne and he'll remain silent. if the Conservatives don't follow all of his instructions to a T, however, the world will end."

Exactly. I suspect this is directly related to the fact that AC is Pierre Trudeau's third cousin-in-law.

13/5/07 6:24 PM  
Scott:

Andrew:

Could you please explain to us how AB and BC would be better served by negotiating a national policy with the likes of Danny Williams and Jean Charest?

Your column starts out suggesting that the removal of domestic trade and labour barriers somehow sets the "the scenes of a dying country". Seriously? If my memory serves me correctly, thats the third time in less than 12 months you've predicted the breakup of the nation.

Maybe you're right. A strong central government is the right way to go. If history is any indication though, a strong central government is just a buzzword for a strong Eastern-Canadian government (i.e. National Energy Program, Kyoto, FIRA, etc).

I guess I won't be worried until I see AB and BC tearing down the national flag or calling their premiers "Prime Ministers" in their own National Assembly like their eastern provincial counterparts.

13/5/07 7:04 PM  
Calvert:

Scott: "Could you please explain to us how AB and BC would be better served by negotiating a national policy with the likes of Danny Williams and Jean Charest? "

I think his point is that they would be better served not negotiating a national policy at all, but having interprovincial barriers removed by fiat. I lean towards decentralization on implementation of education and health policy, but AC is totally right here. The free flow of goods and labour within borders is one of the reasons for and definitions of having a country in the first place.

13/5/07 7:45 PM  
Scott:

Good point Calvert. I probably should have been easier on main point of AC's thesis.

However, the absence of a new bargain or national policy shouldn't preclude provinces from taking actions to remove these barriers themselves. It's also unfair to mention the AB-BC agreement in the same breadth as Quebec or Danny Williams nationalism.

13/5/07 8:52 PM  
Meany:

I think the Federal government is too weak to do any of the things you are talking about. If not, it already would have created a Canadian equivalent of the American SEC, down there they also have random state regulators, but they play second fiddle to the national regulator, with much more resources directed at keeping all players in the game honest. Instead, we are stuck with the OSC acting as the defacto national regulator, and the 12 other dwarves around only so some power hungry premier can claim he controls business in his little fiefdom. Constitutionally, nothing stops the Federal government from doing such simple things to help improve the prosperity of this country, but if Harper (or Martin and Chretien before him) dared try it, both Quebec AND Alberta would be howling with rage, for no reason other than they don't particularily like Ottawa, even when it proposes sensible solutions to problems.

14/5/07 12:16 AM  
KRB:

A push for a national securities regulator is one (in the grand scheme of things) smaller fight that the feds could take on and win. Certainly, all the business sections of the major dailies, plus corporate Canada, would be onside. The feds can sell this to the Cdn public, most of which wouldn't care either way.

They should go for it. And after analysing how it went, get ready for the bigger fight.

14/5/07 10:10 AM  
Anonymous:

Steve L./Paris S. -

Have you read any of Andrew's previous columns about Liberal corruption? Or, for that matter, have you read the comments sections of any of his critiques of Tory policy wherein someone (in this instance, me) is forced to refer the Johnny-come-lately crowd (in this case, you) to read AC's columns from the era of the friendly dictatorship?

Furthermore, did you read this column, in which the source of Andrew's ire isn't the federal conservatives so much as it is the carving up of personal fiefdoms by the provinces.

Paris -

Congratulations on your unearthing of Andrew's highly tangential connection to Trudeau. Technically, since Susan Coyne and Trudeau were never married, your description of his relationship to the ex-PM as that of "third cousin-in-law" is inaccurate, although it hardly matters either way.

14/5/07 11:15 AM  
KRB:

Anon 11:15, must admit that I too was a little baffled reading Steve L.'s comments, and wondering whether he even read the same piece as I had just read.

Sometimes people only see what they want to see ...

14/5/07 2:54 PM  
Érik Labelle Eastaugh:

"ok so let me get this straight Andrew. you support the free flow of capital across international borders (i.e. foreign takeovers of Canadian companies) but not free flow of capital across domestic borders? wtf?"

Steve L. - clearly, you don't know how to read.

14/5/07 3:34 PM  
Érik Labelle Eastaugh:

AC, could you please post a clarification regarding the tax points issue you allueded to? I hadn't heard of any provinces requesting that the CHT and the CST be converted fully to tax points, and frankly, I'd very surprised if any but Alberta did. The main reason is that, as I understand it, most provinces would lose money. The CHT and CST are about 40% tax points, with a cash transfer to even out the difference in the value of those points between provinces (this is where much of McGuinty's 'imbalance' comes from I think). If you went to a full tax-point transfer, poor provinces, especially Québec, would lose out.

14/5/07 4:29 PM  
Paris Stronach:

Anon (11:15),

Thanks for shaking all the leaves out of AC's family tree. Of course, I wasn't being serious in suggesting that AC and Pierre were third cousins as a legal matter. I was merely pointing out the hilarity in the relationship and how both men share the same view on federalism.

14/5/07 4:29 PM  
Anonymous:

Paris -

Hilarity is less frequently found in the similarity of views along bloodlines, so much as the differences (this is closely related, if not entirely parallel, to my issues with the Alanis Morissette School of Irony -- "ten thousands spoons when all you need is a knife," indeed). The implication of your remarks (at least as I understood them), was that AC allowed family allegiances to form his opinions rather than thinking for himself.

By this same logic, what's to stop the Cherniaks and BCLs of this comment board from attributing Coyne's more conservative views to his relationship to Conrad Black (cousin-in-law)?

14/5/07 5:37 PM  
KRB:

Macleans' interview with Preston Manning:

http://www.macleans.ca/canada/features/article.jsp?content=20070510_094203_8512

A good read.

14/5/07 6:34 PM  
quebecois separatiste:

Pauline is coming......


be scared... be really scared...

14/5/07 7:35 PM  
Anonymous:

Pauline LOST to Bernard Landry AND Andre Boisclair...both of whom lost to Jean Charest. Funny stuff.

Coyne and Trudeau don't share views of Federalism...they share views of individual rights. Federalism is just the organizational structure of the government that is meant to serve those individuals.

14/5/07 9:50 PM  
Stevo:

So Duceppe's first line of questioning in the House after his flip-flop involved his irritation over the fact that Ontario, Alberta, and BC will be gaining seats.

What a creep! What does he expect? That the three provinces representing virtually 100% of this country's population growth shouldn't have their seat totals increased with their populations, so as not to offend Quebec sensibilities?

Screw him. If he doesn't like it he should tell his co-provincialists to have more children or stop scaring away immigrants.

15/5/07 9:27 AM  
Quebecois Separatiste:

Stevo: the demographic decline of Quebec within Canada is a very very serious issue. This is no joke. The demographic imbalance is far more serious problem than the fiscal imbalance.

Quebec birth rate is higher than Ontario and BC FYI. And it is not my problem if many immigrants are scared by the french language.

Now Duceppe needs to go. We need to get ride of him now. He cares more about his easy job and salary in Ottawa than the cause.

15/5/07 8:03 PM  
nottawa:

Bravo. A truly great column.

Are there ANY federalist polticians left in this country?

If we had a real federation we wouldn't need "deals" between provinces. They'd be inherent in a well-functioning national system.

15/5/07 10:12 PM  
Anonymous:

Paris Stronach - Coyne's relatives and personal life is none of your business and using this cheap shot is petty and stupid and silly and nonsense.

My cousins don't speak for me - do yours?

16/5/07 9:25 AM  
Mark Dowling:

QS - QC birth rate is merely compensating for the departure of Anglophone/Allophone Quebecers. QC also has a federal provincial agreement (well before Ontario) to speed the entry of francophone immigrants so blaming "the ethnic vote" doesn't wash.

At least QC still has positive growth (0.09% Q4 2006). There has been demographic decline - not of national proportion but of actual number of persons - in Atlantic and Prairie Canada - for decades. Did Quebec worry about them then? Even now to prevent QC from losing seats, more HoC trough feeders must be added to keep QC's number of MPs constant under the Constitutional guarantees.

As an immigrant from the European Union it amazes me that there are trade barriers between Canadian provinces that would be completely illegal between EU sovereign states since at least the Single European Act in 1986!

16/5/07 12:06 PM  
Érik Labelle Eastaugh:

Mark - I don't think they're really that significant. Check out this response to Coyne's column by Erin Weir, another former debater:

http://progecon.wordpress.com/2007/05/13/what-inter-provincial-barriers/

16/5/07 3:01 PM  
gary_mh:

"masters in their own house"? Gosh. It has taken them over 500 years but it looks like the Newfies have learned how to speak French, or at least to translate it. Will these wonders never cease.

16/5/07 6:30 PM  
bigcitylib:

Andrew,

Please post latest column on "losers". You make a horrible analogy in it that I wish to ridicule.

17/5/07 12:36 PM  
KRB:

BCL: Andrew, please post latest column on "losers". You make a horrible analogy in it that I wish to ridicule.

Please do AC. I'm up for a laugh.

Hey BCL, how 'bout a post on how McCallum's idea to hike the GST back to 7% is a surefire electoral winner? LOL!

18/5/07 10:25 AM